Food For Thought
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 84
Newmarket · Turners Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |