Goldilocks Cen
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 84
Newmarket · Turners Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | 1 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 1 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2025-07-22 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-25 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 29/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 25/06/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |