4
Gran Ventura
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 80
Newmarket · Turners Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength40%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |