3
Radiance
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 84
Newmarket · Turners Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Salisbury | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-07-03 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +13.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/11 | 98% | 60% | -0.38 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |