Thaluna
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 81
Newmarket · Turners Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 1 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/10/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |