15
Berlinetta
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 67
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-26 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-06 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Chepstow | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 26/07/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 19/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 06/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |