9
Bintola
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 79
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |