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Cherry Cobbler

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82

Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who is thriving this summer and ran as well as ever when runner-up in 7f handicap on July course here 30 days ago. Well in the mix again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 72 · 7f Sta 123 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 72 par4/024OR 725 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 70 · 6f GF 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 139 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 67 par16/055OR 674 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Sft 125 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 75 par19/064OR 754 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 7f3y Goo 131 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Newmarket 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 7f GF 125 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 75 par31/074OR 755 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 7f GF 142 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 143 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 75 par20/084OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket42nd2nd0
2026-08-15Newmarket51st2nd−1
2026-07-31Newmarket42nd2nd0
2026-07-16Epsom Downs42nd2nd0
2026-06-19Newmarket42nd2nd0
2026-06-07Goodwood47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/027/0631/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20268th17/255%22%-0.33
25/04/202611th7/163%0%-0.63
16/05/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
07/06/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
19/06/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
16/07/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
31/07/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
15/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
20/08/20262nd11/893%89%-0.04