6
Hungarian
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 81
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Redcar | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |