Leadman
6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 95% | +0.53 |
| 23/05/2026 | 17th | 10/3 | 82% | 24% | -0.59 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 74% | +0.03 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |