5
Miletus
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 79
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |