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7

Paladin

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 78

Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning stable debut at Wolverhampton in January. Very good second at Ascot (1m) in July but disappointing both runs since at Redcar and on July course here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 7f219y GF 134 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 73 par9/084OR 734 @ Redcar 23/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 77 · 7f219y Goo 136 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Southwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 76 · 1m13y Std 134 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 76 par3/104OR 764 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 77 · 1m142y Std 130 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 77 par16/014OR 774 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 22 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m GF 135 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 79 par10/074OR 794 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 79 · 7f219y Goo 141 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 78 · 7f Goo 141 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 78 par20/084OR 78projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket49th9th0
2026-08-08Redcar49th9th0
2026-07-10Ascot42nd2nd0
2026-05-23York418th18th0
2026-01-16Wolverhampton41st1st0
2025-10-17Newcastle45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0817/1010/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
23/08/20257th6/168%0%-0.68
03/10/20252nd5/174%92%+0.18
17/10/20255th15/890%43%-0.47
16/01/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
23/05/202618th33/10%19%+0.19
10/07/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
08/08/20269th5/174%38%-0.35
20/08/20269th15/261%11%-0.49