4
Raggaas
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 82
Newmarket · Turners Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |