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7

Expert Agent

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 77

Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

66%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally for 2026 over C&D in May and continues in good form, set a lot to do when eighth of 13 in 6f handicap on July course here last month. Ought to be thereabouts off a 2 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 30/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 69 par30/015OR 694 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Sta 119 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Sta 128 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 68 par1/045OR 684 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 72 · 6f12y Goo 127 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 75 par16/054OR 754 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 141 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 6f GF 141 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 81 par18/074OR 814 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 26 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 79 · 6f Gd 134 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 79 par22/084OR 79projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket48th8th0
2026-07-29Goodwood46th6th0
2026-07-18Newmarket44th4th0
2026-06-20Newmarket46th6th0
2026-05-16Newmarket41st1st0
2026-05-04Windsor42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/014/0518/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
04/03/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
01/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
04/05/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
16/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
20/06/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
18/07/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
29/07/20266th22/10%80%+0.80
22/08/20268th25/10%42%+0.42