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4

Rajaking

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 81

Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back in top form for his present yard and landed 21-runner handicap at York (6f) in July. Conceded first run to the front 2 when a close third of 13 over 6f on July course here 4 weeks ago. Weighted to go close off the same mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 08/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 80 par8/084OR 804 @ Newmarket 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 134 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 82 par24/094OR 824 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Std 133 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 79 par16/054OR 793 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 6f12y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 6f GF 131 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 76 par4/074OR 764 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 21 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 81 · 6f Gd 136 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 81 par22/084OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-07-24York41st1st0
2026-07-04Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-06-15Windsor34th3rd+1
2026-05-16Newmarket46th6th0
2025-10-16Chelmsford City47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0816/104/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20252nd28/10%92%+0.92
22/08/20252nd11/271%83%+0.12
24/09/20259th4/179%11%-0.68
16/10/20257th12/137%25%-0.12
16/05/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
15/06/20264th18/15%73%+0.67
04/07/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
24/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
22/08/20263rd3/184%83%-0.01