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Rocking Ends

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 87

Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Revitalised by the refitting of a visor when winning over 5f on July course here in July. Has failed to show that form on his last 2 runs, though had excuses when last of 12 in handicap at Ascot (5f, good to firm) on latter occasion.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bahrain 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 92 · 4f214y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 92 par16/01C?OR 92C0 @ Bahrain 19/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1253 @ Yarmouth 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f42y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 89 par13/053OR 894 @ Yarmouth 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 5f42y GF 137 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 85 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 85 par10/073OR 854 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 85 · 5f GF 140 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 91 · 5f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 91 par25/072OR 912 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 5f3y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 89 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 89 par5/092OR 89projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot212th10th+2
2026-08-16Pontefract25th3rd+2
2026-07-25Ascot25th3rd+2
2026-07-17Newmarket41st1st0
2026-07-10Newmarket37th6th+1
2026-06-18Yarmouth45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0118/0625/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20264th66/10%75%+0.75
19/02/20266th16/116%71%+0.55
13/05/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
18/06/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
10/07/20267th7/163%45%-0.18
17/07/20261st85/4089%100%+0.11
25/07/20265th18/15%67%+0.61
16/08/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
05/09/202612th20/10%0%0.00