8

Enricher

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 78

Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Came good in 6f maiden at Wolverhampton last August, but down the field in handicap over same trip at Leicester in early summer following a 10-month absence and struggling long way out at Southwell last time. Blinkers go on for first time after another break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 13/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 13013/0645 @ Ffos Las 09/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 1309/0752 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0725 @ Wolverhampton 10/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 79 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 79 par10/085OR 793 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 83 par25/053OR 834 @ Southwell 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f16y Std 131 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 81 par18/064OR 81projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Southwell49th9th0
2026-05-25Leicester310th9th+1
2025-08-10Wolverhampton51st2nd1
2025-07-29Goodwood25th3rd+2
2025-07-09Ffos Las54th5th1
2025-06-13Sandown44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/069/0729/0710/0825/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20254th11/142%25%-0.17
09/07/20254th18/15%67%+0.61
29/07/20255th66/10%71%+0.71
10/08/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
25/05/202610th22/10%18%+0.18
18/06/20269th17/255%0%-0.55