7
Kohana Nation
3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 78
Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -22.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 18/5 | 81% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |