IvyArcIvyArc
2

Quantum Power

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 85

Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a hat-trick in 5f handicap on July course here this summer. Not at his best when ninth of 18 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, good to firm) 30 days ago. The sort to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 77 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 77 par10/103OR 775 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 74 · 5f160y Gd 129 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 74 par17/044OR 745 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 5f3y Goo 133 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 72 par2/065OR 725 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 5f21y GF 135 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 75 par27/065OR 754 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 86 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 86 par30/073OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Goodwood39th8th+1
2026-07-04Newmarket41st1st0
2026-06-27Windsor51st2nd−1
2026-06-20Newmarket51st2nd−1
2026-06-02Pontefract54th5th−1
2026-05-15Newmarket53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1015/0527/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/202511th20/10%0%0.00
28/10/20254th17/255%63%+0.07
17/04/20267th50/10%50%+0.50
15/05/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
02/06/20264th17/255%50%-0.05
20/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
27/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
04/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
30/07/20269th18/15%53%+0.48