6
Saucy Jane
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 79
Newmarket · Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |