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Percy Shelley

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 84

Newmarket · Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m 2f

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored over hurdles for this yard last autumn but his only wins on the Flat came in France in 2022. Posted creditable efforts when in the frame over 2m here and York last 2 runs but suspicion is he may find the odd one too strong again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m3f207y Gd 15916/0942 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m3f200y GS 159 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Plumpton 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 123 · 2m4f116y Goo 168 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 123 par6/043OR 1234 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 2m Goo 138 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ Uttoxeter 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 122 · 2m3f207y Gd 160 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 122 par24/052OR 1224 @ Sandown 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m6f Goo 134 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 122 · 2m1f46y Gd 165 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 122 par18/073OR 1224 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 2m GF 141 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 84 · 2m56y GS 141 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 84 par6/094OR 84projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York44th5th−1
2026-08-06Newmarket42nd3rd−1
2026-07-18Cartmel36th6th0
2026-06-13Sandown46th7th−1
2026-05-24Uttoxeter22nd1st+1
2026-05-02Goodwood44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/102/0518/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20251st4/998%50%-0.48
24/10/20252nd11/271%83%+0.12
06/04/20263rd33/10%82%+0.82
02/05/20264th5/287%50%-0.37
24/05/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
13/06/20266th16/583%38%-0.46
18/07/20266th7/163%50%-0.13
06/08/20262nd8/158%75%+0.17
06/09/20264th11/142%73%+0.31