IvyArcIvyArc
1

Amazonica

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Newmarket · Turners Of Soham Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

65%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€62,000 yearling, €110,000 2-y-o, Ghaiyyath gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, notably very smart 7f-9f winner Helene Paragon. Dam Italian 7f-11f winner. Was the only newcomer in the field but that didn't prevent him from winning a Leicester novice in ready fashion in July. More to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m2f GF 13014/073
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Leicester31st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21