2

Sir Hannibal

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Newmarket · Turners Of Soham Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty when placed twice on all-weather last summer for Paul Attwater, but has been off the track since. Market should reveal expectations for a new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 17/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13017/0654 @ Kempton 06/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m Sta 1306/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-06Kempton43rd4th1
2025-06-17Southwell53rd5th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
06/08/20253rd22/10%75%+0.75