Bold Impact
4yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 76
Newmarket · Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire Handicap · 1m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 16/04/2026 | 18th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |