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9

Rapide Vega

3yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 75

Newmarket · Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire Handicap · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability in Ireland for Jessica Harrington and improved straight away when making a winning start for new yard in a Lingfield maiden. Went close back in a handicap at Beverley 3 weeks ago and this 3-y-o could be the answer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 05/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 1305/05C8C8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sft 133C8 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m Sft 13422/04C8BHA74 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m2f109y Goo 132 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 74 parBHA71 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m1f100y Yie 131 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 71 par12/0671OR 71BHA70 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m2f63y Goo 130 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 1m1y Std 131 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 68 par17/085OR 685 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 73 · 1m1f207y Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 73 par29/085OR 73projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Beverley52nd3rd−1
2026-08-17Lingfield51st2nd−1
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA705th9th−3
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA712nd6th−3
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA748th12th−3
2026-04-22Gowran Park?5th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0529/0517/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/202511th16/116%23%+0.07
27/10/20254th6/168%73%+0.04
22/04/20265th12/137%71%+0.35
29/05/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
12/06/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
30/06/20265th11/271%56%-0.15
17/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
29/08/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02