8
Triple Force
5yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 72
Newmarket · Turners Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Chester | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Newcastle | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Musselburgh | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/5 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |