8

Lady Pop
5yo Filly · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 12/09/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/11/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |