8

Lady Pop

5yo Filly · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 19/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 09/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 09/05C?C0 @ Enghien 30/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 012/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 014/11C?5 @ Amiens 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Amiens51st2nd1
2025-11-14Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-10-21Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-09-12Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-07-30Enghien?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0330/0714/1131/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20255th50/10%60%+0.60
04/04/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
09/05/20252nd9/276%91%+0.15
30/07/20255th4/179%56%-0.23
12/09/20257th17/255%50%-0.05
21/10/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
14/11/202511th7/163%17%-0.46
10/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
31/07/20262nd7/282%92%+0.11