10
Laps Gede
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-14 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 24/06/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 05/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |