1

Laurentina Turgot

5yo Filly · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#14

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 01/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Caen 31/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 031/05C?C0 @ Cabourg 04/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1344/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 012/08C?5 @ Caen 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13925/045projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-25Caen58th9th1
2025-08-12Cabourg?7th7th0
2025-07-04Cabourg?7th7th0
2025-05-31Caen?8th8th0
2024-12-11Vincennes?9th9th0
2024-11-01Le Croise-Laroche?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0811/1231/054/0712/0825/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20242nd9/276%92%+0.16
11/12/20249th28/10%38%+0.38
31/05/20258th16/116%59%+0.43
04/07/20257th28/10%54%+0.54
12/08/20257th40/10%50%+0.50
25/04/20268th66/10%42%+0.42