11

Laussac Du Buisson

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/09C?C0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/11C?4 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS19/0233 @ Enghien 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/06C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Feurs?5th5th0
2026-05-09Caen3+1
2026-04-30Vincennes40
2026-03-13Enghien35th4th+1
2026-02-19Vincennes33rd2nd+1
2026-01-25Vincennes41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0918/1119/0212/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20251st18/15%100%+0.95
06/10/20254th33/10%80%+0.80
14/10/20256th22/10%64%+0.64
18/11/20255th5/174%76%+0.03
28/11/20256th25/10%55%+0.55
25/01/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
19/02/20263rd15/261%82%+0.21
13/03/20265th18/15%71%+0.66
12/06/20265th18/15%56%+0.50