5

Liberator Phedo

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#1

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13226/08C?C0 @ Laval 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14325/06C?6 @ Mauquenchy 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14323/076C0 @ Argentan 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 016/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 14324/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1435/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-08-24Pornichet?1st1st0
2026-08-16Argentan?4th4th0
2026-07-23Mauquenchy61st3rd2
2026-07-14Cabourg?0
2026-07-05Laval?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0825/0623/0716/0824/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20244th20/10%50%+0.50
25/06/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
23/07/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
16/08/20264th33/10%77%+0.77
24/08/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
05/09/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05