9
Lil Boss Only
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Angers | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 28/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 79% | +0.26 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |