6

Louis Quatorze
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#11
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 11/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |