6

Louis Quatorze

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#11

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 03/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 025/0145 @ Nantes 13/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/04C?4 @ Enghien 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 04 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/074C0 @ Lisieux 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 04 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/094projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes47th7th0
2026-08-17Lisieux?4th4th0
2026-07-09Enghien44th4th0
2026-05-23Enghien43rd3rd0
2026-04-13Argentan?7th7th0
2026-02-13Nantes52nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1113/029/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20252nd7/282%92%+0.11
11/01/202611th50/10%0%0.00
25/01/20266th22/10%58%+0.58
13/02/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
13/04/20267th5/174%63%-0.11
23/05/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
09/07/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
17/08/20264th16/116%75%+0.59
04/09/20267th14/126%57%+0.31