7
Lupin Des Tours
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 29/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |