12
Lutellia Monnerie
5yo Filly · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Bar Pmu L'etoile Craon - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |