18
Gisaro
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#4
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 12/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 81% | +0.21 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |