5

Harlem Loca

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#14

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength6%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 14/03/2024 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 014/03C?C0 @ Caen 29/05/2024 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 01/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 28/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 25/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/03C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03/07C?C0 @ Argentan 02/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vire 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vire?4th4th0
2025-11-02Argentan?10th10th0
2025-07-03Lisieux?6th6th0
2025-06-08Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2025-03-25Maure De Bretagne?10th10th0
2024-11-28Mauquenchy?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0328/113/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20249th100/10%47%+0.47
29/05/202410th66/10%44%+0.44
01/08/20246th40/10%55%+0.55
28/11/20241st22/10%100%+1.00
25/03/202510th40/10%47%+0.47
08/06/20252nd14/126%93%+0.67
03/07/20256th7/282%69%-0.13
02/11/202510th40/10%40%+0.40
31/08/20264th33/10%81%+0.81