5

Harlem Loca
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#14
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength6%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Argentan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-25 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-11-28 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2024 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/05/2024 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 01/08/2024 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/11/2024 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/03/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.13 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |