4
He Star Du Calice
9yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 7 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/01/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |