7

Influence

8yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#13

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 01/11/2024 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/11C?C0 @ Graignes 23/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14312/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 06/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1436/02C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 23/04/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 23/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13023/05C?C0 @ Chartres 26/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 01/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1431/06C?projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Nantes?9th9th0
2026-04-26Chartres?11th11th0
2025-05-23Graignes?3rd3rd0
2025-04-23Maure De Bretagne?14th14th0
2025-02-06Vincennes?10th10th0
2025-01-20Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1120/0123/051/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202415th100/10%7%+0.07
23/11/20249th66/10%33%+0.33
12/12/20242nd28/10%93%+0.93
20/01/20254th17/255%75%+0.20
06/02/202510th22/10%18%+0.18
23/04/202514th125/10%13%+0.13
23/05/20253rd7/163%83%+0.20
26/04/202611th125/10%17%+0.17
01/06/20269th50/10%20%+0.20