3

Intrigue De Viette
8yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#9
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 08/07/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/02/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |