3

Intrigue De Viette

8yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 26/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 026/01C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 21/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 029/03C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 06 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/076projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet610th11th1
2026-05-24Saint-Malo?7th7th0
2026-03-29Chatelaillon?5th5th0
2026-02-18Laval?14th14th0
2025-09-20Pornichet?1st1st0
2025-08-28Pornichet?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0128/0829/0323/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20258th22/10%46%+0.46
08/07/202510th66/10%36%+0.36
21/08/20255th28/10%69%+0.69
28/08/20255th18/15%73%+0.68
20/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
18/02/202614th100/10%13%+0.13
29/03/20265th100/10%56%+0.56
24/05/20267th40/10%54%+0.54
23/07/202610th66/10%10%+0.10