8
Irafara
8yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 16/07/2025 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.47 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 87% | -0.00 |
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 01/09/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 05/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |