6

Iris Renardier

8yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength5%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Craon 08/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 08/09C?6 @ Nantes 21/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Reims 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 023/04C?6 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 026/07C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vire 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vire?3rd3rd0
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?1st1st0
2026-07-26Enghien?4th4th0
2026-05-08La Capelle67th8th1
2026-04-23Reims?3rd3rd0
2026-02-21Nantes65th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0721/0226/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
22/07/20258th11/486%53%-0.32
08/09/20253rd20/10%86%+0.86
21/02/20265th11/893%71%-0.21
23/04/20263rd9/153%86%+0.33
08/05/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
26/07/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
05/08/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
31/08/20263rd10/147%88%+0.40