6

Iris Renardier
8yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/07/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 53% | -0.32 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |