11
Jerk Haufor
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#17
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 20/04/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 21/09/2025 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 13/02/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |