13

Jewel De Banville

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#5

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 01/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1391/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/12/2023 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/01/2024 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/02/2024 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 23/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 023/03C?C0 @ Laval 01/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 04/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1434 @ Laval 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS28/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Laval46th5th+1
2025-11-20Vincennes?0
2025-10-28Vincennes?4th4th0
2025-09-25Laval?0
2025-02-04Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-01-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/119/024/0228/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20233rd6/168%80%+0.12
17/12/202311th50/10%9%+0.09
21/01/20249th80/10%27%+0.27
09/02/20241st50/10%100%+1.00
23/03/20247th8/158%57%-0.01
01/11/20243rd10/147%87%+0.39
04/02/20253rd28/10%83%+0.83
28/10/20254th7/163%75%+0.12
28/08/20266th125/10%55%+0.55