13

Jewel De Banville
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-28 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-04 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2023 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 17/12/2023 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 21/01/2024 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/02/2024 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/03/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/11/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 04/02/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |