10

Joueur Danica
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-02 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2023 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 14/02/2023 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 46% | -0.35 |
| 26/12/2023 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |