10

Joueur Danica

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

62%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 29/01/2023 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 029/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/02/2023 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 0C0 @ Argentan 26/12/2023 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 026/12C?C0 @ Nantes 02/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 16/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/06C?C0 @ Les Sables 27/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 05 @ Pornichet 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/075C0 @ Cabourg 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet51st1st0
2026-07-14Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02Pornichet53rd3rd0
2025-08-27Les Sables?4th4th0
2025-06-16Vichy?4th4th0
2025-06-02Nantes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/012/062/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20233rd5/287%78%-0.09
14/02/20238th7/282%46%-0.35
26/12/20233rd20/10%87%+0.87
02/06/20255th50/10%60%+0.60
16/06/20254th7/282%77%-0.05
27/08/20254th6/168%73%+0.04
02/07/20263rd11/271%86%+0.15
14/07/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
23/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24