16
Juste Du Gers
7yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Presse Ocean - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#10
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Royan-La Palmyre | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Sable-Sur-Sarthe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |