18
Izzie D'eronville
8yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#14
Rank
Odds
140/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |