2

Karate King

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#15

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 016/02C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 17/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 02/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/05C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 04/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 21/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Laval 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/03C?C0 @ Vichy 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 03/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 03/08C?projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Chatelaillon?8th8th0
2026-05-16Vichy?4th4th0
2026-03-05Laval?7th7th0
2026-02-02Maure De Bretagne?9th9th0
2025-08-21Pornichet?10th10th0
2025-08-04Chatelaillon?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/024/085/033/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/02/202511th20/10%33%+0.33
17/03/20255th9/276%71%-0.05
02/05/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
04/08/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
21/08/202510th20/10%25%+0.25
02/02/20269th80/10%27%+0.27
05/03/20267th20/10%57%+0.57
16/05/20264th14/126%80%+0.54
03/08/20268th33/10%13%+0.13