16
Kazy Merite
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#13
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 01/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |