13
Kelly Gede
6yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength13%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 13th | 7th | +5 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-05 | Agon-Coutainville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 94% | +0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.41 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 22/08/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |